Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 3.682634 4.252009 4.880909 5.627243 6.489098 7.453515 8.615233
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 2.955394 3.708859 4.612674 5.777440 7.240239 9.018669 11.348702
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2.331910 3.146129 4.195425 5.648395 7.611740 10.178072 13.797119
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.857559 2.672988 3.793137 5.446929 7.832713 11.160027 16.172206
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.594637 2.432745 3.652703 5.561942 8.485140 12.809827 19.728701
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.333366 2.145072 3.390457 5.445698 8.767815 13.954527 22.721859
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.221354 2.063954 3.421375 5.774628 9.775076 16.341521 28.024853
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.105049 1.954322 3.385651 5.982894 10.609310 18.564334 33.408839
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.977423 1.803209 3.254544 6.002313 11.114486 20.293589 38.200838
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.825298 1.583532 2.969103 5.698117 10.985359 20.869650 40.969496
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.769836 1.533809 2.983061 5.947963 11.920397 23.527463 48.092951
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.739503 1.527283 3.075990 6.361411 13.230618 27.085476 57.552474
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.679129 1.454693 3.035632 6.515408 14.071838 29.899657 66.089581
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.614823 1.364082 2.945711 6.553181 14.678889 32.332303 74.249380
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.536662 1.231311 2.747401 6.325083 14.670720 33.446868 79.671829
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.466297 1.104766 2.543425 6.050844 14.511603 34.195424 84.366797
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.431091 1.054033 2.502360 6.148227 15.237686 37.092700 94.735053
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.384476 0.968741 2.368367 6.001084 15.347712 38.540808 101.747514
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.372041 0.965816 2.431111 6.351761 16.760556 43.412863 118.455014
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.353147 0.943504 2.442642 6.573234 17.876142 47.707832 134.390489
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.325846 0.894915 2.380229 6.589702 18.448278 50.671624 147.187444
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.285723 0.805564 2.198269 6.252531 17.994323 50.797680 151.932741
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.275308 0.797050 2.232237 6.525090 19.311211 56.050166 172.688810